This chart was getting bandied around on a forum and it got me thinking about US healthcare spending. Luckily it mentioned its data source, leading me to http://www.oecdilibrary.org/content/book/health_glance-2009-en and a statistics package from BPI consulting. It's going to be time to think about relationships and throw some math at some data to see if I can reject a null hypothesis or two.
Question: Why is the US healthcare system so expensive (relative basically everybody else)?*
Possible contributers:
-Lack of monopsony power by purchasers.
-Insurance companies do have some monopsony power in re doctors and hospitals.
-Drug price ceilings?
-Inefficient competition in the market.
-AMA licensing and accreditation limits participants.
-Lack of the ability to advertise. Compare Lasik to other outpatient procedures
-Limited numbers of hospitals, does this compare to other limited suppliers?
-How do these factors make the American market different than other healthcare markets?
-3rd party payments
-Moral hazard and adverse selection
-Creates a subsidy or price floor. (Which is a better model?)
-Technology
-Do we use more medical technology than other countries?
-General American trends
-Do we pay doctors, nurses and medical people more than others?
-Do we pay doctors etc more relative similar Americans?
-Income effects
-Do we consume more healthcare because it's a superior good and we can afford it?
-Can this be related to the income differences between Americans and Europeans?
-Test: What kind of things do we spend out money on? What percentage goes to "extra" healthcare?
-All the stuff I haven't thought of yet
OK, so the data that I found don't look like they address most of the things that cause high US health costs. This will take some thinking.
*Let's leave results out for this, those may be for other reasons than economics and I don't know enough medicine to tell the difference between a good theory and data mining.**
**I probably don't know enough about the healthcare system to tell good results from data mining either, but hey, there might be some chance on that one!
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
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